Content Caffeine #36: This is the problem with AI data (and what to do), Google's index mess, rethink your marketing allocation


Content Caffeine

For content-obsessed marketers and SEOs

Hi there,

Do you feel like you're drowning in research, reports, and studies on AI and LLMs?

I have a problem with all the conflicting data and advice, so I've addressed those issues for you below.

There's a lot of hype and noise in this space, so you'll get my best tips on how to approach your SEO and content efforts.

Enjoy!

See you next time,
Nicole

P.S. We're all in this together. That's the title of my 'inspirational' piece today. Scroll to the bottom and have a read. I appreciate you being here!


I want to share your:

Big news, latest resource, or outstanding results.
I'd love to support you by featuring you here. It's FREE!

Smash the button
and show me what you've got.

Insights

The problem with AI research (and what to do about it)

I have a problem with all the research on AI Overviews and studies on how to appear in AI engines, like ChatGPT.

There’s too much of it!

Plus, the documents I read often contain conflicting advice and data.

Examples

1. Contradictory findings on the impact of AI Overviews

Some sources indicate a negative impact on organic click-through rates (CTRs) due to AI Overviews, while others report minimal differences or even slight increases.

This contradiction suggests a need for more granular analysis, considering factors like industry, query type, and user behavior.

2. Inconsistent reporting of AI Overview prevalence

The reported percentage of keywords triggering AI Overviews varies widely across studies.

This may stem from differences in keyword selection, search location, device type, and the timing of data collection.

It raises questions about the general nature of the results.

3. Limited consideration of user behavior

Several studies focused on SERP features and ranking positions but lacked in-depth analysis of user behavior beyond click-through rates.

Understanding how users interact with AI Overviews, such as whether they expand the AI-generated content or scroll down to organic results, could provide valuable insights.

What I concluded from reading all this data and viewpoints falls into the three buckets below.

Brand recognition drives search behavior

While we’re chasing the #1 spot in the SERPs, Americans aren’t necessarily clicking on the top-ranked results.

A recent survey shows that 59% of Americans click results from brands they know, while less than one-third choose the top-ranked result.

That means users are almost twice as likely to trust brand recognition over algorithms (perhaps a response to growing skepticism toward search engines).

Trust is particularly relevant for businesses aiming to capture clicks in competitive search environments, where brand trust can outweigh algorithmic positioning.

In the same survey, 52% of Americans said search engines (e.g., Google, Bing) were their most trusted source for information.

I’ve regularly spoken about how your brand presence is key for visibility in search, both on Google and in LLMs.

Action:

  1. Maintain a consistently updated, high-quality website
  2. Develop engaging, informative newsletter content
  3. Cultivate active social media engagement
  4. Ensure a cohesive brand voice across all platforms

Remember that brand mentions—on any channel—are another way of saying ‘Digital PR.’

Continue (or start) pitching content to publications, sharing useful insights on social media, developing relationships with journalists and editors, and offering to comment on stories in your industry.

Ditch basic content and go deep

AI overviews are eating “what is” and informational content for breakfast.

To stand out you need to offer insider insights and interviews, in-depth analysis and data, or real-life stories only your brand can tell.

Target those mid-and bottom-funnel readers who are ready to engage, not just browse.

Quality over fluff, always.

Keyword targeting in the AI era

In another survey from late 2024, 20.0% of SEOs said that keyword rankings and organic pageviews (11.7%) are their top-tracked SEO metrics.

If you’re curious, the top ranked metrics from the year before were click-through rates, and branded/non-branded traffic. Keywords came in at number 3.

Despite AI and tech advancements, keyword optimization remains a fundamental SEO metric.

Use these approaches:

  • Align keyword strategies with current search behaviors
  • Emphasize long-tail, specific search queries (relevant in LLMs)
  • Optimize for emerging search formats like AI Overviews
  • Develop content that addresses subtle and/or detailed user intent

Longer, specific queries are your ticket to popping up in AI Overviews, so figure out how to make them work for you.

Balance the above with other channels, like social or email, to keep your traffic flowing.

Finally, be where your audience is.

Every piece of smart content builds your reputation, making it more likely the SERPs (and LLMs) will name-drop you.

There’s a lot of hype and noise about AI in SEO-land.

Stick with SEO fundamentals, and continue to create content for users’ needs and questions.

You're creating content for humans, not for search engines.

If you need to plan a Digital PR campaign that helps you (or your clients) get noticed online, reply now or reach out to me here.


Related
: Matt Diggity talks about his focus on brand strategy in 2025. Go to the 48 second mark of this video.


Quote-worthy

Clicks might decline. But for most companies, SEO will remain one of their biggest drivers of growth. They will still want to deny their competitors monopoly access to lucrative SERPs. They will still want to be the biggest player in a smaller search landscape. The tactics that worked then will still, largely, work the same today: content, links, technical SEO.
—Ryan Law, Director of Content Marketing at Ahrefs
[Source]

Not everyone in the world sees AI Overviews

Where you live and work has an impact on what you see in the SERPs.

While the US has had AI Overviews for a while, Europe is only just starting to catch up.

AIO has still not officially launched in many European countries, like Germany, Switzerland and Italy.

Olaf Klopp noticed them in Germany a few days ago, so it appears Google is running some tests prior to a launch.

Are you reading this newsletter from Europe, or elsewhere?

Let me know what you see.


Making the best of your marketing budget

Do your marketing channels and budget allocations make sense?

This visual representation from Rand Fishkin might make you reconsider your idea of value for money.

I hope these insights help. For more tips, follow me here.

This is not an ad...

Did a friend or colleague forward this newsletter to you?

You can get a copy straight to your inbox twice a month.

You know what to do! (Hit the button now).


Information

✶ What's going on with Google’s indexing process?

IndexCheckr analyzed 16 million pages to shed light on Google's indexing behavior.

Their study gives SEOs and site owners several useful insights.

We know that the surge in AI-generated content since 2022 has contributed to a dramatic increase in unindexed pages.

ChatGPT may be to blame...

✶ Random thought

Is this reply from John Mueller a business idea? 🤔

✶ The impact of AI Overviews on SEO

If you're in the mood for data, this article from Growth Memo summarizes the results of 19 studies on AI Overviews.

A few snippets:

  • Queries with five words (long-tail) trigger AIOs 22.6% of the time compared to one with 0.9% and ten-word queries with 0.2%.
  • 82% of desktop and 76% of mobile AIOs occurred for keywords with less than 1,000 monthly searches.
  • AI Overviews appear alongside Featured Snippets in 59.5% of keywords.

Inspiration

We're all in this together

A few days ago, I got a shout-out in Alex Horsman’s SEO newsletter.

Recognition from others in our industry is a reminder that our work doesn’t go unnoticed.

But here’s the thing: it’s also a reminder of something bigger.

We all get so wrapped up in the daily grind—deadlines, stats, client calls—that we can forget we’re part of a community.

SEOs and marketers? You’re an amazing bunch.

Right now, some of you may be going through a rough patch, and that’s exactly when we need to stick together.

None of us get anywhere alone.

In business or life, we’re leaning on our partners, connections, teammates, and friends.

Alex’s shout-out wasn’t just about me—it was a nod to that support network we all rely on.

And it’s why I think we should call out the people who help us, publicly and often.

It’s a small, but powerful gesture.

Today, I'm passing it forward.

Who in your professional circle deserves recognition?

Think about how you could share a tip, send a kind word, or just cheer someone on.

I guarantee it will be appreciated.


I'll see you again on March 20.

In the meantime, feel free to ask me a question, send an interesting link, or tell me what's on your mind. Just hit replyI read all your emails!


Dates to watch

April Monthly Observances

  • Earth Month
  • National Autism Awareness Month
  • Parkinson’s Awareness Month
  • Celebrate Diversity Month
  • Stress Awareness Month

Weekly Observances

  • April 20-26: National Volunteer Week
  • April 20-26: Administrative Professionals Week
  • April 21-25: Every Kid Healthy Week
  • April 21-27: Animal Cruelty Week
  • April 21-27: Human Violence Awareness Week

Days

  • April 1: April Fool’s Day
  • April 2: World Autism Awareness Day
  • April 2: International Children’s Book Day
  • April 2: National Walking Day
  • April 7: World Health Day
  • April 7-13: Masters Tournament PGA
  • April 11: National Pet Day
  • April 11-13/18-20: Coachella Music Festival
  • April 12: Passover starts
  • April 13: Thomas Jefferson’s Birthday
  • April 13: Palm Sunday
  • April 15: American Sign Language Day
  • April 15: Tax Day
  • April 16: Emancipation Day
  • April 18: Good Friday
  • April 20: Easter Sunday
  • April 20: Passover ends
  • April 21: Boston Marathon
  • April 21: World Creativity and Innovation Day
  • April 22: Earth Day
  • April 25: Arbor Day
  • April 27: World Design Day
  • April 28: National Superhero Day
  • April 30: National Honesty Day
  • April 30: Yom Ha’atzmaut

Keep in touch

12424 Black Hills Drive, Austin, TX 78748
Unsubscribe · Preferences

Content Caffeine

My team and I have been helping brands reach their SEO traffic and conversion goals through content and links for over 10 years. Recognized by industry leaders and household brands as an authority in both organic content and digital PR.

Read more from Content Caffeine
graph with orange bars showing where B2B marketers are increasing investment. Results how video content and thought leadership at the top.

Content Caffeine For content-obsessed marketers and SEOs Hi there, Let's start with a fun fact: Google Search is 373 times bigger than SearchGPT. In 2024, Google received more than 14 billion searches a day and SearchGPT got around 37.5 million. And, the predictions of Google's demise are premature, as searches grew 21.64%. Does that help put the impact of AI search engines into perspective? You'll find my thoughts on the latest in SEO and marketing below. Enjoy! See you next time,Nicole P.S....

Bar graph showing percentage of marketers who think digital PR is more effective than it was 12 months ago. 48.6% say it is, 23.1% say less, 28.3 don't know

Content Caffeine For content-obsessed marketers and SEOs Hi there, You might enjoy my thoughts today on the next big organic channel to watch! I also took a dive into what Google tells their search raters about 'helpful content,' which revealed a lot about Google's priorities. I hope my ideas and tips help you out—and get you thinking. See you next time,Nicole P.S. Don't miss the chance to combine email and SEO. Scroll to the bottom for my take on this topic. I want to share your: Big news,...

Pie chart showing search intent on ChatGPT for navigational, commercial, informational and transaction search. Unknown search intent accounts for 70% of searches on the chatbot.

Content Caffeine For content-obsessed marketers and SEOs Hi there, Welcome back. Our industry publishes a ton of content, so I had a tough time deciding what to explore in this newsletter. My aim is to uncover news and insights that you haven't seen, so I hope I achieved that for you today. Read on and enjoy! See you next time,Nicole P.S. Have you seen any interesting news, or an opinion you'd like me to comment on? Reply and I'll take a look. I want to share your: Big news, latest resource,...