(Note on the image: I predict that one of Google's next updates will address these AI-generated article dumps). When AI systems have limited prior exposure to a brand, some companies experiment with AI-specific pages written primarily for ChatGPT and similar tools. Results are inconsistent and highly dependent on the system being tested. Models evolve, retrieval methods change, and filters tighten. Practices that look clever today often become tomorrow's cautionary screenshots. History suggests platforms eventually adjust to tactics that prioritize manipulation over usefulness. What actually drives AI visibility is not any single tactic, but a compounding loop: Credible mentions increase recognition. Recognition expands eligibility. Eligibility raises the likelihood of citation, and repeated citation strengthens future retrieval.
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SparkToro's research highlights how inconsistent AI systems are when recommending brands or products. That inconsistency isn't a flaw to be fixed. It's a feature of probabilistic systems working with incomplete information.
This is why there's no "sure way" to appear in AI-generated answers. There are no guarantees, but there are structural advantages that materially shift prior probability.
The growing list of acronyms—GEO, AEO, etc.—may suggest something fundamentally new, but they share the same foundations. Improving visibility in traditional search still increases the likelihood of being surfaced in AI-generated responses, because many AI systems are built on the same discovery and trust signals.
This aligns with what Google has said for years. John Mueller has noted that there is no meaningful optimization for AI without solid SEO fundamentals.
If a user asks a vague question, they get a generic answer with safe, well-known names. If they ask a tightly scoped, context-rich question, they'll often surface more specific brands, niche players, or newer entrants.
Prompting influences outcomes, but it doesn't override a model's internal confidence boundaries. You cannot reliably prompt an LLM into citing a brand it doesn't already recognize as relevant or credible.
What prompting does change is which part of the model's knowledge gets activated. Constraints like "specialist," "B2B-focused," or "less obvious" widen the citation set, but only within the limits of brands the system already considers plausible.
The implication is important: Brands aren't competing for a single AI ranking. They're competing across millions of slightly different prompts written by real people with wildly different levels of clarity and intent.
While prompting is ultimately user-driven, marketers still influence the shape of prompts indirectly by shaping category language, normalizing comparisons, and publishing "how to choose" frameworks that buyers reuse.
This is different from manipulation, but it does affect how questions get asked. This is why user education matters alongside brand optimization. When users know how to express their needs more precisely, the answer space expands.
AI tracking tools can offer directional insight, but only if you're clear about what they can and cannot measure.
The mental model needs to shift from "Where do we rank?" to:
SparkToro's research suggests that Visibility %—the frequency with which a brand appears across dozens or hundreds of model runs—is a reasonable proxy for prominence. That's very different from a ranking, and it only works when the testing methodology is consistent, repeatable, and transparent.
If you're evaluating AI tracking tools, the real question is whether the tool can reliably generate this kind of aggregate visibility signal. Many cannot. Small sample sizes, opaque prompts, and single-run outputs produce noise that looks like insight.
Be cautious of any platform that claims to show definitive "AI rankings." AI systems don't operate on a single, stable ranking system, and treating them as if they do creates a false sense of precision.
Instead, pair any AI visibility data with leading indicators you already trust: branded search demand, direct traffic, repeat visits, and whether prospects mention discovering you through AI tools in sales calls or surveys.
Used longitudinally, with consistent prompts and paired with PR signals, tracking tools can still inform strategy. The problem isn't the tools themselves, but the expectation of deterministic answers from probabilistic systems.
Imperfect signals are far more useful than precise-looking numbers built on shaky assumptions.
Related: Check this section from an article by Gaetano DiNardi: SEO ROI is now the downstream outcome of brand traction.
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✶ Mt. AIThis image is a perfect example of what I highlighted in my last newsletter: The Overlooked Risks in AI Content Plans. In that piece, I reacted to a CMO Investment Report by Conductor showing that marketing leaders are prioritizing "AI content generation at scale:" "CMOs betting on AI velocity are assuming that future algorithm updates will be neutral or forgiving. History suggests the opposite. Google tends to let a behavior spread before they aggressively correct it." Glenn Gabe coined this "Mt. AI." That's clever. It's also a reminder that content intended to manipulate search rankings will eventually be punished. |
✶ What if user satisfaction is the most important factor in SEO?Marie Haynes invites us to reconsider a central idea in SEO: what if user satisfaction really is the most important factor Google considers when ranking pages? She bases much of her thinking on insights revealed during the US Department of Justice vs. Google trial, where internal details about Google’s ranking systems and how they use user data were discussed. Google uses real user interaction data to teach AI systems what helpful content looks like. That means your success in SEO increasingly depends on being the page that genuinely satisfies the searcher’s intent. |
Inspiration |
Think Like a World-Class Marketer 2 big lessonsRationality isn’t enough. To really win, you have to go beyond logic. If you only do what makes sense, you’re competing with everyone else who has the same data. The magic happens when you do the things that look wrong on a spreadsheet. Fix the feeling, not the tech. The best way to solve a problem is often to change how it feels, not how it works. A wait feels shorter if you’re entertained, even if the time is the same. Psychology is cheaper than engineering. In the meantime, feel free to ask me a question, send an interesting link, or tell me what's on your mind. I read all your emails! |
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My team and I have been helping brands reach their SEO traffic and conversion goals through content and links for over 10 years. Recognized by industry leaders and household brands as an authority in both organic content and digital PR.
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